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Mon, 24 Dec 2007

an early present

A new feature this week! See strength of schedule analysis, below.

Also, note New England's move up the defensive rank this week. Hot.

combined              	offense               	defense               
NWE	100.000        	NWE	100.000        	TAM	100.000        
IND	88.436        	DAL	88.573        	PIT	99.415        
DAL	86.782        	IND	87.421        	NWE	98.846        
GNB	80.736        	GNB	82.202        	IND	96.740        
JAC	75.168        	JAC	80.541        	SEA	95.912        
SDG	68.132        	SDG	79.225        	JAC	91.079        
PIT	67.855        	CLE	79.111        	SDG	90.187        
SEA	66.095        	PIT	77.233        	GNB	83.067        
NYG	64.852        	NOR	76.276        	PHI	82.850        
TAM	58.828        	ARI	75.498        	TEN	80.681        
TEN	56.789        	MIN	74.401        	MIN	80.314        
CLE	56.718        	SEA	74.212        	DAL	78.042        
WAS	51.723        	CIN	73.818        	WAS	77.546        
MIN	51.586        	HOU	73.814        	NYG	71.733        
PHI	45.870        	NYG	73.599        	CHI	69.183        
HOU	42.632        	DET	73.079        	BUF	68.755        
NOR	42.057        	PHI	70.841        	KAN	68.433        
DET	41.323        	WAS	69.036        	CAR	67.810        
BUF	40.461        	TAM	68.515        	NYJ	62.419        
ARI	40.166        	CHI	68.271        	SFO	58.647        
CHI	36.059        	DEN	68.200        	BAL	57.390        
CIN	35.342        	TEN	65.152        	HOU	56.162        
DEN	33.238        	OAK	61.394        	NOR	54.164        
CAR	32.540        	NYJ	59.973        	CIN	53.944        
SFO	21.324        	BAL	58.677        	OAK	53.517        
BAL	18.968        	MIA	58.019        	CLE	49.687        
KAN	18.287        	STL	57.996        	ATL	49.320        
OAK	18.168        	BUF	57.756        	DEN	45.991        
NYJ	14.726        	CAR	56.270        	STL	45.538        
STL	10.441        	KAN	53.330        	MIA	44.466        
ATL	10.132        	ATL	52.623        	ARI	43.372        
MIA	0.000        	SFO	51.803        	DET	40.314        

passing offense       	passing defense       	rushing offense       	rushing defense       
NWE	100.000        	IND	100.000        	MIN	100.000        	MIN	100.000        
GNB	94.996        	TAM	84.417        	JAC	90.704        	BAL	85.323        
NOR	93.844        	PIT	79.103        	PIT	89.889        	PIT	83.172        
DAL	92.275        	MIA	78.007        	NYG	88.749        	JAC	76.069        
CIN	88.368        	NWE	70.465        	TEN	86.960        	DAL	74.292        
HOU	88.199        	KAN	67.352        	OAK	84.321        	PHI	73.169        
IND	86.852        	NYG	64.381        	PHI	84.133        	TEN	69.497        
DET	86.829        	DEN	63.881        	SDG	83.429        	IND	69.070        
SEA	86.469        	OAK	62.337        	DEN	81.087        	WAS	68.784        
ARI	85.763        	NYJ	62.214        	NWE	79.624        	NWE	64.526        
PHI	83.088        	TEN	60.451        	TAM	79.599        	NYG	62.889        
DEN	82.475        	JAC	60.383        	DAL	78.509        	ARI	62.110        
WAS	80.182        	GNB	54.503        	WAS	78.468        	SEA	60.946        
CLE	80.169        	DAL	53.685        	CAR	75.713        	NOR	59.875        
CHI	78.236        	CAR	53.482        	BUF	75.323        	SDG	59.325        
TAM	78.001        	SDG	53.170        	CLE	74.956        	TAM	58.587        
STL	76.698        	PHI	50.588        	BAL	73.695        	GNB	57.017        
ATL	76.660        	WAS	49.755        	IND	73.615        	CAR	50.521        
KAN	75.773        	SEA	49.577        	NYJ	70.209        	HOU	48.562        
NYJ	73.624        	ARI	49.276        	CIN	69.668        	SFO	46.378        
SDG	73.476        	STL	48.063        	MIA	69.505        	STL	46.176        
NYG	73.432        	ATL	47.029        	STL	69.033        	CIN	40.586        
BAL	73.400        	BAL	46.799        	SEA	68.952        	CHI	40.244        
PIT	72.729        	CHI	45.059        	ATL	67.304        	CLE	40.184        
JAC	72.044        	SFO	41.995        	HOU	66.415        	DET	38.006        
MIA	71.632        	HOU	41.834        	ARI	66.105        	KAN	37.538        
TEN	68.602        	BUF	41.179        	SFO	65.996        	ATL	37.500        
CAR	67.101        	CLE	41.156        	GNB	65.693        	BUF	35.123        
MIN	67.065        	CIN	39.393        	NOR	65.288        	NYJ	22.827        
BUF	66.372        	NOR	26.865        	DET	63.978        	DEN	21.607        
OAK	64.299        	DET	19.035        	CHI	60.565        	OAK	14.164        
SFO	60.235        	MIN	18.631        	KAN	57.978        	MIA	5.477

...and a standard strength of schedule/victory analysis. In each column, the second ratio is strength of schedule excluding the team in question.

		SoS						SoV
		incl			excl			incl			excl
NWE	15- 0	102-123 (.4533)		102-108 (.4857)		102-123 (.4533)		102-108 (.4857)
IND	13- 2	113-112 (.5022)		111- 99 (.5286)		 88-107 (.4513)		 88- 94 (.4835)
DAL	13- 2	110-115 (.4889)		108-102 (.5143)		 88-107 (.4513)		 88- 94 (.4835)
GNB	12- 3	106-119 (.4711)		103-107 (.4905)		 81- 99 (.45)		 81- 87 (.4821)
JAC	11- 4	117-108 (.52)		113- 97 (.5381)		 75- 90 (.4545)		 75- 79 (.487)
SDG	10- 5	116-109 (.5156)		111- 99 (.5286)		 66- 84 (.44)		 66- 74 (.4714)
NYG	10- 5	108-117 (.48)		103-107 (.4905)		 54- 96 (.36)		 54- 86 (.3857)
PIT	10- 5	102-123 (.4533)		 97-113 (.4619)		 60- 90 (.4)		 60- 80 (.4286)
SEA	10- 5	 94-131 (.4178)		 89-121 (.4238)		 55- 95 (.3667)		 55- 85 (.3929)
TEN	 9- 6	107-118 (.4756)		101-109 (.481)		 52- 83 (.3852)		 52- 74 (.4127)
TAM	 9- 6	106-119 (.4711)		100-110 (.4762)		 53- 82 (.3926)		 53- 73 (.4206)
CLE	 9- 6	 97-128 (.4311)		 91-119 (.4333)		 45- 90 (.3333)		 45- 81 (.3571)
WAS	 8- 7	122-103 (.5422)		115- 95 (.5476)		 49- 71 (.4083)		 49- 63 (.4375)
MIN	 8- 7	114-111 (.5067)		107-103 (.5095)		 51- 69 (.425)		 51- 61 (.4554)
PHI	 7- 8	131- 94 (.5822)		123- 87 (.5857)		 47- 58 (.4476)		 47- 51 (.4796)
DET	 7- 8	118-107 (.5244)		110-100 (.5238)		 43- 62 (.4095)		 43- 55 (.4388)
BUF	 7- 8	115-110 (.5111)		107-103 (.5095)		 26- 79 (.2476)		 26- 72 (.2653)
HOU	 7- 8	114-111 (.5067)		106-104 (.5048)		 37- 68 (.3524)		 37- 61 (.3776)
NOR	 7- 8	108-117 (.48)		100-110 (.4762)		 45- 60 (.4286)		 45- 53 (.4592)
ARI	 7- 8	102-123 (.4533)		 94-116 (.4476)		 48- 57 (.4571)		 48- 50 (.4898)
CHI	 6- 9	126- 99 (.56)		117- 93 (.5571)		 45- 45 (.5)		 45- 39 (.5357)
CAR	 6- 9	119-106 (.5289)		110-100 (.5238)		 35- 55 (.3889)		 35- 49 (.4167)
DEN	 6- 9	118-107 (.5244)		109-101 (.519)		 38- 52 (.4222)		 38- 46 (.4524)
CIN	 6- 9	109-116 (.4844)		100-110 (.4762)		 32- 58 (.3556)		 32- 52 (.381)
SFO	 5-10	103-122 (.4578)		 93-117 (.4429)		 32- 43 (.4267)		 32- 38 (.4571)
KAN	 4-11	119-106 (.5289)		108-102 (.5143)		 28- 32 (.4667)		 28- 28 (.5)
BAL	 4-11	114-111 (.5067)		103-107 (.4905)		 18- 42 (.3)		 18- 38 (.3214)
OAK	 4-11	113-112 (.5022)		102-108 (.4857)		 20- 40 (.3333)		 20- 36 (.3571)
NYJ	 3-12	122-103 (.5422)		110-100 (.5238)		 12- 33 (.2667)		 12- 30 (.2857)
ATL	 3-12	117-108 (.52)		105-105 (.5)		 18- 27 (.4)		 18- 24 (.4286)
STL	 3-12	116-109 (.5156)		104-106 (.4952)		 15- 30 (.3333)		 15- 27 (.3571)
MIA	 1-14	122-103 (.5422)		108-102 (.5143)		  4- 11 (.2667)		  4- 10 (.2857)

New data and code.

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